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Guest Post: Financial Markets and Economic Update - First Quarter 2024

Jeff For Banks

In the markets, we watched helplessly as real GDP plummeted -5% in 1Q20 and -31% in 2Q20 before rebounding by +33% in 3Q20. I’ve previously theorized that China would try to reclaim its global market share lost during the pandemic by flooding the markets with cheaper goods. This development could give us good news on inflation.

Marketing 146
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Guest Post: FInancial Markets and Economic Update by Dorothy Jaworski

Jeff For Banks

This is because the economy has been gaining momentum, however modest, from the tax cuts and deregulation. In my career, I’ve lived through many years of the Fed raising interest rates and it’s my experience that they usually tighten too much and keep rates high for too long, just like in 2001 and 2006-2007. The economy has grown 2.2%

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Guest Post: Financial Markets and Economic Update by Dorothy Jaworski

Jeff For Banks

The markets continue to roll and bond markets continue to trade in a 25 basis point range, hitting the higher end when they think the economy is strong (why else would the Fed raise rates?) Presidential Agenda I am very surprised that the markets are not having fits over the lack of progress on the presidential agenda.

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Guest Post: 2012 Economic Year in Review by Dorothy Jaworski

Jeff For Banks

more “promises,” and a constant flow of new money into the markets. The biggest beneficiary of all this Fed activity has been the stock market—which ended the year at some pretty good “handles,” with the Dow above 13,000, S&P 500 above 1,400, and the Nasdaq above 3,000. Oh, wait, our Congress!

Taxes 71
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Predicting the Next Banking Crisis Is a Fool’s Game. Not Learning From the Last One: Equally Foolish

Jeff For Banks

More recently and by comparison, the mortgage meltdown and subsequent global financial crisis took down more than 500 banks between 2007 and 2014, with total assets of nearly $959 billion. We knew there was tremendous hubris in the subprime market. 01 percent on my money market account when the Fed Funds rate rose to five, I was angry.

FDIC 78
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What's With Regulator Agita Over Bank Commercial Real Estate Lending?

Jeff For Banks

They need a marketing person to title their reports. To summarize, banking institutions exceeding the concentration levels should have in place enhanced credit risk controls, including stress testing of CRE, and may be subject to further supervisory analysis. Risk mitigants tend to lag growth, especially fast growth.

Lending 60
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Guest Post: Second Quarter Economic Update

Jeff For Banks

What’s Bothering the Markets? There used to be an old adage in the stock market: “sell in May and go away.” Stock markets did quite well this year into April then began to sell off relentlessly in May; in the meantime, bond markets moved higher, especially Treasuries, as investors sought the safety of bonds. Bummers all.

Taxes 60