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Guest Post: Financial Markets and Economic Update - First Quarter 2024

Jeff For Banks

In the markets, we watched helplessly as real GDP plummeted -5% in 1Q20 and -31% in 2Q20 before rebounding by +33% in 3Q20. I’ve previously theorized that China would try to reclaim its global market share lost during the pandemic by flooding the markets with cheaper goods. This development could give us good news on inflation.

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The Velocity of Risk – What Bankers Need To Know

South State Correspondent

Banks that are looking to enhance their risk management practices should consider incorporating the concept of the velocity of risk into their enterprise-wide risk management practices. Some risks occur slowly; others strike quickly and hard. Optimizing Risk. Luckily, nothing became of it.

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Guest Post: Financial Markets & Economic Update 4Q23 by Dorothy Jaworski

Jeff For Banks

Financial Markets & Economic Update - Fourth Quarter 2023 Summer Update On this warm October day, I am staring at my Bloomberg screen, still heartbroken over the Phillies Phailure. We all remember the Great Recession, which began in 2007, but the LEI knew it as early as March, 2006. But not in this market. for the FHFA.

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Guest Post: Financial Markets and Economic Update by Dorothy Jaworski

Jeff For Banks

The markets continue to roll and bond markets continue to trade in a 25 basis point range, hitting the higher end when they think the economy is strong (why else would the Fed raise rates?) Presidential Agenda I am very surprised that the markets are not having fits over the lack of progress on the presidential agenda.

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Guest Post: FInancial Markets and Economic Update by Dorothy Jaworski

Jeff For Banks

In my career, I’ve lived through many years of the Fed raising interest rates and it’s my experience that they usually tighten too much and keep rates high for too long, just like in 2001 and 2006-2007. Dorothy has been with Penn Community Bank and its predecessor since November, 2004. And does the following sound familiar?

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Predicting the Next Banking Crisis Is a Fool’s Game. Not Learning From the Last One: Equally Foolish

Jeff For Banks

More recently and by comparison, the mortgage meltdown and subsequent global financial crisis took down more than 500 banks between 2007 and 2014, with total assets of nearly $959 billion. Although community banks did not lend to sub-prime borrowers in any meaningful way, did we participate? trillion failed. What caused it?

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What's With Regulator Agita Over Bank Commercial Real Estate Lending?

Jeff For Banks

and New York Community Bancorp called off their planned merger. Both institutions were over the CRE concentration guidelines, so putting them together would exasperate this risk, so the regulatory thinking must have been. They need a marketing person to title their reports. We perform this service for dozens of community banks.

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