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Predicting Community Bank Cost of Funds

South State Correspondent

Community bank cost of funds is jumping up. As shown in the graph below, the net interest margin (NIM) for community banks declined 22bps in Q1’23. The question is – what will happen to community bank’s cost of funds from here?

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Using A Commercial Step-Up Loan to Increase NIM and Fees

South State Correspondent

Community banks are striving to increase loan yield and maintain their cost of funding (COF). Unfortunately, pressure on COF is expected to remain, and loans will reprice slower than expected as borrowers with below-market rates will wait until the last maturity day to refinance their credits.

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How QT will Impact Cost of Funding in 2024

South State Correspondent

Most market participants are focused on just one monetary policy tool available to the Fed – short-term, federal funds rates. The graph below shows the Fed’s balance sheet and projections for the middle of 2025. The graph below shows COF for the same three groups of banks. Increase product engagement and duration.

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Higher Rates – Faster for Longer

South State Correspondent

Most importantly, because the Fed does not forecast its preferred measure of inflation to reach its 2.00% target rate until 2025, this rate hiking cycle will likely be longer than any of the previous five cycles. Application to Community Banks. A second significant risk for community banks is repricing risk.

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Charles Potts: Innovation trends for 2023

Independent Banker

Much like we saw with some concentrated initiatives in 2020 with the Paycheck Protection Program (PPP) and the CARES Act, 2023 will bring a more granular focus to community banks’ lines of business. Embedded finance is expected to increase exponentially over the next few years, opening up new markets and enhancing customer experiences.

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How Banks Can Better Use Grid-Based Pricing

South State Correspondent

Community banks can maximize profit and increase loan balances using innovative grid-based pricing for their commercial clients. Therefore, attracting long-term, stable, and lower COF deposits is paramount for community banks. However, grid-based pricing can also be used to increase deposit balances.

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What a Hawkish Fed Pause Means for Banks?

South State Correspondent

The futures market forecasts one additional hike in 2023, but more importantly, no interest rate decreases this year. Equally important are the Fed’s 2023, 2024, and 2025 projections for inflation, GDP, and unemployment – all pointing to a hotter economy for a longer period. The post What a Hawkish Fed Pause Means for Banks?

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