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Guest Post: Fourth Quarter Economic Update by Dorothy Jaworski

Jeff For Banks

Rates Give Us a Wild Ride Bond market behavior in the fourth quarter of 2010 was one for the record books. Congress entered the mix and extended the Bush tax cuts for two years and unexpectedly added new tax cuts for consumers and businesses. Combined these tax breaks can provide up to 0.5% So what happened? in December.

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Predicting the Next Banking Crisis Is a Fool’s Game. Not Learning From the Last One: Equally Foolish

Jeff For Banks

When the Taxpayer Relief Act of 1997 passed, the top capital gains tax rate was lowered, providing yet another incentive for equity speculators to pour money into the fledgling internet industry. And quite frankly, I did not know there were so many tranches to mortgage-backed securities. Let those numbers sink in a bit. Good times.

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Guest Post: First Quarter Economic Update by Dorothy Jaworski

Jeff For Banks

Oil prices keep rising and we’ve seen a 15% increase in gas prices since year end 2010. So far, about half of the positive economic impact of the surprise 2% reduction in social security taxes and small business tax cuts are gone because of higher gas prices. It may not take long before the remainder is gone, too.

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Guest Post: Second Quarter Economic Update

Jeff For Banks

Government and regulators are contributing to the pessimism with financial reform legislation that does not even address some of the causes of the crisis, new FASB proposals to impose harmful mark-to-market accounting on bank loans, and the looming expiration of the Bush tax cuts in 2011. to 3% in 2010 and about the same in 2011.

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Guest Post: First Quarter Economic Update by Dorothy Jaworski

Jeff For Banks

They purchased securities during the crisis and stepped up where they could as a lender of last resort. They embarked on quantitative easing, or “QE,” programs twice in 2009 and 2010, buying up $2.3 trillion of securities. But we know that only three things in life are certain—death, taxes, and a Fed that goes too far.

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Guest Post: Third Quarter Economic Update by Dorothy Jaworski

Jeff For Banks

First of all, if they continue to buy securities, they are removing many of the high quality securities from the marketplace, possibly causing a disruption or shortage in the markets. trillion of securities amassed during QE1 and QE2. In all, there are 33 factors that go into the Index creation. So stay tuned!

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Guest Post: 3rd Quarter Economic Update by Dorothy Jaworski

Jeff For Banks

So far in 2010, private employers have added 723,000 jobs, well below the pace of prior recoveries. Rebuilding of depleted inventories and increased capital spending helped to get GDP growth back on track in the summer of 2009 and into 2010. Real final sales are growing ever so slowly at 1.0% in the second quarter and 1.1%

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