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Predicting the Next Banking Crisis Is a Fool’s Game. Not Learning From the Last One: Equally Foolish

Jeff For Banks

The old borrow short, lend long strategy. percent in 2004, a decline of 1.1 By comparison, non-high-tech industries lost 689,000 jobs between 2001 and 2002 but recovered the lost jobs by 2004. Who would’ve thought lending $1 million to a San Francisco cab driver to buy a house at 100% loan to value would go bad?

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Washington Watch

Independent Banker

The bad news is the first review, conducted from 2004 to 2006, was a bust. Even though the industry identified several major regulatory burdens, including those posed by the Truth in Lending Act and the Home Mortgage Disclosure Act, few substantive regulations were repealed. in Lowell, Mass.;

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Guest Post: Financial Markets and Economic Update by Dorothy Jaworski

Jeff For Banks

Indeed, banks generally pull back on lending if longer-term loan rates are less than their cost of funds, which are generally based on shorter-term rates. Dorothy has been with Penn Community Bank and its predecessor since November, 2004. Since 1960, all six recessions have been preceded by inverted yield curves.

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Guest Post: Financial Markets and Economic Commentary by Dorothy Jaworski

Jeff For Banks

They also implemented large, aggressive borrowing and purchase programs for Treasuries, Agency mortgage backed securities, corporate bonds, municipal bonds, loans, commercial paper, bank lending, and small business loan programs. Dorothy has been with Penn Community Bank and its predecessor since November, 2004. Congress passed $2.3

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Guest Post: Third Quarter Economic Update by Dorothy Jaworski

Jeff For Banks

I know I risk sounding like Charles Plosser, but so be it. It seems to me that reducing burdensome regulations and not implementing harsher capital requirements would be more effective alternatives to incentivize lending than pushing all yields toward zero while buying up all of our bonds.

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Guest Post: Third Quarter Economic Update by Dorothy Jaworski

Jeff For Banks

It will take time, but eventually, companies and banks will seek higher returns and invest and lend. DJ 10/05/11 Dorothy Jaworski has worked at large and small banks for over 30 years; much of that time has been spent in investment portfolio management, risk management, and financial analysis. Companies are sitting on $1.9

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Guest Post: 3rd Quarter Economic Update by Dorothy Jaworski

Jeff For Banks

What is really needed is an approach to get banks back to lending, which is not helped by increased capital requirements and FASB’s proposal to subject loans to mark-to-market accounting, which could introduce frightening volatility into bank earnings and capital. Dorothy has been with First Federal of Bucks County since November, 2004.

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