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Predicting the Next Banking Crisis Is a Fool’s Game. Not Learning From the Last One: Equally Foolish

Jeff For Banks

percent in 2004, a decline of 1.1 By comparison, non-high-tech industries lost 689,000 jobs between 2001 and 2002 but recovered the lost jobs by 2004. Although community banks did not lend to sub-prime borrowers in any meaningful way, did we participate? High-tech employment fell from 12.1 percent of all jobs in 2001 to 11.3

FDIC 78
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Guest Post: Financial Markets and Economic Update by Dorothy Jaworski

Jeff For Banks

The economy is slowing, as seen in the auto, housing, manufacturing, and retail sectors. I admire his business savvy, his wealth of knowledge about the economy and the financial markets, his ability to deal with crisis, and his dedication to making people’s lives better through JP Morgan Chase Bank community initiatives.

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Guest Post: Financial Markets and Economic Update by Dorothy Jaworski

Jeff For Banks

They must not see falling oil prices, weak GDP growth, falling gold prices, a narrowing Treasury-TIPS spread, rising debt levels, lower consumer spending, a low labor force participation rate, low productivity, and consumer prices so weak that major retail companies are closing stores at a record pace. Rising debt levels will not stop them.

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Guest Post: Financial Markets and Economic Commentary by Dorothy Jaworski

Jeff For Banks

Although the economy is looking a little bit tired, I believe that consumers will continue to spend, with retail sales rising, albeit with some volatility. Dorothy has been with Penn Community Bank and its predecessor since November, 2004. The Outlook I am sticking to my forecast of real GDP growth of +2.0% in 2018 and +3.1%

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Guest Post: Financial Markets and Economic Commentary by Dorothy Jaworski

Jeff For Banks

Readers note: You can also view this post on Penn Community Bank's website. The worst hit businesses with employees who are not fortunate enough to work have been retail stores, restaurants, bars, automobile sales, entertainment, sporting events, schools, airlines, and travel and vacation destinations. Click here.

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Guest Post: 2nd Quarter 2022 Financial Markets and Economic Update by Dorothy Jaworski and Sam Weller

Jeff For Banks

Consider the cost of a Starbucks Venti Frappuccino: now retailing at $5.25 Sam Weller 5/16/2022 Dorothy Jaworski has worked at large and small banks for over 30 years; much of that time has been spent in investment portfolio management, risk management, and financial analysis. Think that’s bad? per gallon on a good day.

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Guest Post: Financial Markets and Economic Update by Dorothy Jaworski

Jeff For Banks

Consumer spending and retail sales have shown weakness since the fourth quarter of 2017 but we should see improvement. DJ 04/12/18 Dorothy Jaworski has worked at large and small banks for over 30 years; much of that time has been spent in investment portfolio management, risk management, and financial analysis.